My analysis today for #Lebanese -#Armenian Aztag Daily #newspaper “The independence referendum in Iraqi Kurdistan and Armenia’s position”
Where I argued how Maasoud Barazani is playing the referendum card to boost his political legitimacy by inflaming Kurdish nationalism, overcoming on inter-Kurdish divisions and the referendum is nothing more than a pressure on Baghdad to seek compromise on Kerkuk, Sinjar and other “disputed territories” in favor of the Kurdish Regional Government. Later, I have argued Turkey’s, Iran’s and Israel’s role, saying that both Turkey and Iran oppose the referendum fearing of Kurdish nationalist aspiration within their border that may further destabilize their domestic front. Although Tel Aviv officially supported the referendum but it is unlikely to provide political assistance given the geographical distance compared to Iran and Turkey, thus there is a concern that Iraqi Kurdistan may be isolated in case it doesn’t reach to political agreement with Baghdad and may face civil distrupt with other communities such as Arabs and Turkomans. Finally, I have reflected Armenia’s position arguing the need of Yerevan to establish diplomatic relations with Erbil, without provoking Baghdad, providing with reasons I have raised during my presentation “Armenians in Iraqi Kurdistan and the prospects of Armenia-Kurdistan relations” in the Armenians in Iraq conference organized by the ADRC at Haigazian University few months ago.